Why You’re in a Calorie Deficit but Not Losing Weight (And What’s Really Going On)

Published on 30 November 2025 at 17:00

By Vitus Personal Training | Personal Trainer in Dubai

Why You’re in a Calorie Deficit but Not Losing Weight (And What’s Really Going On)

Thousands of people swear they’re “eating in a deficit” but still not losing weight — and it feels incredibly frustrating.
But the truth is this: fat loss is more complex than just eating less and moving more.
Your metabolism adapts, hormones shift, tracking becomes inaccurate, and the body fights back when things get too extreme.

Let’s break down the real reasons you may be stuck — even when you believe you’re doing everything right.


1. You May Not Be in a True Deficit (Even If You Think You Are)

Most people under-estimate calorie intake — not on purpose — but because food labels, apps, and portion sizes can be misleading.

Common hidden calorie sources:

  • Cooking oil

  • Dressings and sauces

  • “Bites, licks, tastes”

  • Eating out (wildly inaccurate labels)

  • Protein bars and “healthy snacks”

  • Mis-measured portions

  • Coffee orders

Even small errors can add up to 200–600 extra calories a day, enough to cancel out any deficit.


2. Extreme Dieting Pushes Your Body Into “Survival Mode”

This is one of the most important factors — and the most misunderstood.

A lot of people don’t just diet…
They diet too hard.

They slash calories way too aggressively:

  • 1000 calories a day

  • Skipping meals

  • Overtraining

  • Cutting carbs completely

  • Not recovering

  • Fasting excessively

In the short term, the scale drops.
But very quickly, the body adapts and begins defending itself.

❗ This survival response is why many people stall while “barely eating.”

Here’s what happens when the deficit is too big:

  • Thyroid hormones drop → metabolism slows

  • NEAT movements drop → you burn fewer calories unconsciously

  • Hunger hormones increase → cravings skyrocket

  • Cortisol rises → water retention + lower metabolic rate

  • Muscle breakdown increases → fewer calories burned at rest

  • Training output decreases → fewer calories burned during workouts

This is starvation adaptation, and it’s powerful.

Someone eating 1,000 calories per day can genuinely burn less than someone eating 2,000, simply because their metabolism has shut down to protect them.


3. Hormones Quietly Lower Your BMR (Basal Metabolic Rate)

Your hormones dictate metabolism far more than most people realise.

Thyroid hormones drop

Low calories → lower T3 → slower metabolic rate
This alone can lower BMR by 5–20%.

Leptin drops

You burn fewer calories and feel hungrier.

Cortisol rises

Water retention masks fat loss.
Sleep worsens → metabolism slows further.

Ghrelin increases

You feel hungrier and may accidentally overeat without tracking it.

Sex hormones drop

Low testosterone & estrogen = lower calorie burn + lower performance.

These hormone changes don’t “destroy your metabolism” — but they absolutely reduce it.


4. Your NEAT (Daily Movement) Drops Without You Realising

NEAT = non-exercise activity: standing, walking, fidgeting, talking, blinking.

When you diet — especially hard dieting — NEAT drops by 300–600 calories per day without you noticing.

You subconsciously:

  • Sit more

  • Move less

  • Walk fewer steps

  • Fidget less

  • Slow down your general movements

Even if workouts stay the same, your life becomes more energy-efficient.

This can completely remove your deficit.


5. Water Retention Can Mask Fat Loss

If you're training hard or stressed, cortisol increases water retention.

You can be losing fat while the scale stays the same because:

  • New training = inflammation = water retention

  • Stress = cortisol = water retention

  • Poor sleep = water retention

  • Hormonal cycles = water fluctuations

Fat loss and scale movement are not the same thing.


6. Overtraining Doesn’t Burn More Fat — It Often Burns Less

People assume “training harder = burning more calories.”

But here’s what actually happens:

  • Your workouts get harder

  • Your recovery gets worse

  • Your sleep declines

  • Your cortisol rises

  • Your NEAT drops

  • Your performance drops

  • Your BMR slows

  • You burn fewer calories overall

Elite athletes burn more because they’ve built up the capacity over years.
The average person training too hard simply overwhelms their system.


7. Tracking Is Inaccurate — Even When You’re Being Careful

Your wearable device is not measuring true calories burned — it’s estimating based on movement and heart rate.

Most watches overestimate calorie burn by 20–60%, especially in strength training.

So if your watch says:

3500 calories burned,
your actual burn is often closer to:

2200–2800 calories
(depending on gender, weight, and muscle mass).

This creates a false feeling of being in a deficit.


8. The Body Is Designed to Resist Fat Loss

Your body wants stability and survival.
When you diet too hard or for too long, your system activates:

  • Lower metabolism

  • Lower movement

  • Higher hunger

  • Higher cravings

  • Higher stress hormones

It’s not sabotage — it’s protection.

This is why moderate, consistent deficits work better than extreme ones.


The Real Fix: A Smart, Sustainable Deficit

Here’s what actually works:

  • Eat in a moderate deficit (10–20%)

  • Strength train 3–4× per week

  • Hit 7–10k steps per day

  • Manage stress and sleep

  • Include carbs for training

  • Avoid aggressive restriction

  • Eat enough protein

  • Have diet breaks every 6–8 weeks

This approach avoids all the survival adaptations that stall fat loss.


Final Thoughts

If you’re not losing weight in a deficit, it’s not because your body is broken — it’s because it has adapted.
Extreme dieting, inaccurate tracking, hormonal shifts, and metabolic slowdown can all make you feel like you’re doing everything right… while the body is simply trying to protect itself.

The solution isn’t to push harder —
it’s to diet smarter, fuel properly, and work with your physiology rather than against it.